The effect of systemic chemotherapy on survival in patients with localized, regional, or metastatic adenocarcinoma of the urinary bladder

Objectives:To test the effect of systemic chemotherapy on cancer-specific mortality (CSM) in patients with adenocarcinoma of the urinary bladder (ADKUB).Materials and Methods:Within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results registry (2004 to 2016), we identified patients with localized (T2-3N0M0), regional (T4N0M0/TanyN1-3M0), and metastatic (TanyNanyM1) ADKUB. Temporal trends, Kaplan-Meier plots, and multivariable Cox regression models were used before and after 1:1 propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting.Results:Of 1537 patients with ADKUB, 834 (54.0%), 363 (23.5%), and 340 (22.5%) harbored localized, regional, and metastatic disease, respectively. The rates of chemotherapy use increased in localized (estimated annual percentage change [EAPC]: +2.7%; P=0.03) and regional ADKUB (EAPC: +2.4%; P=0.04). Conversely, chemotherapy rates remained stable in metastatic patients (EAPC: +1.6%; P=0.4). In multivariable Cox regression models, chemotherapy use was associated with lower CSM in metastatic ADKUB (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.5; P=0.003), but not in either localized (HR: 0.8; P=0.2) or in regional ADKUB (HR: 1.0; P=0.9). In metastatic ADKUB, the benefit of chemotherapy on CSM persisted after 1:1 propensity score matching (HR: 0.6; P=0.002) and after inverse probability of treatment weighting (HR: 0.4; P<0.001).Conclusions:Chemotherapy improves survival in metastatic ADKUB. However, only one out of 2 such patients benefit from chemotherapy. In consequence, greater emphasis on chemotherapy use may be warranted in these patients. Conversely, no benefit was identified in localized or regional ADKUB.